Santa Barbara
W-L: (19-10) PR = 93.9293Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1106 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 50-87 1109 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 89-49 1115 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 72-70 1119 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 75-60 1128 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 74-49 1129 A Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 66-64 1204 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 67-52 1206 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 67-47 1213 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 68-65 1218 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 89-63 101 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 61-62 103 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 88-70 108 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 55-47 115 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 82-67 118 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 50-67 122 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 61-51 124 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 72-56 129 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 49-52 131 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 60-62 205 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 69-61 207 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 41-63 212 H Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 62-69 214 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 63-54 219 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 74-58 221 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 52-58 226 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 61-57 228 A UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 70-62 307 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 65-72 311 H Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 53-58
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H UCLA 50-87 -37 -6 0.00
1109 A Seattle 89-49 40 2 0.00
1115 A Grand Canyon 72-70 2 0 + 2.21
1119 A San Jose St 75-60 15 2 0.17
1128 A Cal Baptist 74-49 25 0 + 2.46
1129 A Chattanooga 66-64 2 0 1.71
1204 A LB St 67-52 15 2 0.00
1206 A CS Baker 67-47 20 2 0.12
1213 A Utah Tech 68-65 3 1 0.63
1218 A Ea Wash 89-63 26 1 1.40
101 H CS Fullerton 61-62 -1 1 -1.62
103 A Northridge 88-70 18 1 0.63
108 A UC Davis 55-47 8 0 + 2.26
115 A CS Baker 82-67 15 2 0.12
118 H Hawaii 50-67 -17 0 -1.72
122 A Cal Poly 61-51 10 3 0.00
124 A LB St 72-56 16 2 0.00
129 H UC San Diego 49-52 -3 -1 -1.45
131 H CS Fullerton 60-62 -2 1 - -2.62
205 A UC Davis 69-61 8 0 + 2.26
207 H UC Irvine 41-63 -22 -1 -1.31
212 H Ca Riverside 62-69 -7 1 - -3.14
214 A Cal Poly 63-54 9 3 0.00
219 A Northridge 74-58 16 1 0.63
221 H Hawaii 52-58 -6 0 -1.72
226 A Ca Riverside 61-57 4 1 0.88
228 A UC Irvine 70-62 8 -1 + 2.71
307 H UC San Diego 65-72 -7 -1 -1.45
311 H Ca Riverside 53-58 -5 1 - -3.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 131 H CS Fullerton 60-62 -2 1 - -2.62 212 H Ca Riverside 62-69 -7 1 - -3.14 311 H Ca Riverside 53-58 -5 1 - -3.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1115 A Grand Canyon 72-70 2 0 + 2.21 1128 A Cal Baptist 74-49 25 0 + 2.46 108 A UC Davis 55-47 8 0 + 2.26 205 A UC Davis 69-61 8 0 + 2.26 228 A UC Irvine 70-62 8 -1 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 50-87 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 1.05 -0.01
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 89-49 -8.10 2.86 0.01 1.05 6.01
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 72-70 -5.77 5.19 0.01 1.05 10.87
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 75-60 -7.82 3.14 0.01 1.05 6.60
3 A Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 74-49 -5.52 5.44 0.01 1.05 11.40
3 A Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 66-64 -6.27 4.69 0.01 1.05 9.83
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 67-52 -8.13 2.83 0.01 1.05 5.95
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 67-47 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.05 6.51
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 68-65 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.05 7.58
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 89-63 -6.58 4.38 0.01 1.05 9.18
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 61-62 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.05 -3.45
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 88-70 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.05 7.57
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 55-47 -5.72 5.24 0.01 1.05 10.99
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 82-67 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.05 6.51
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 50-67 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.05 -2.98
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 61-51 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.05 4.58
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 72-56 -8.13 2.83 0.01 1.05 5.95
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 49-52 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.05 -2.83
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 60-62 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.05 -3.45
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 69-61 -5.72 5.24 0.01 1.05 10.99
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 41-63 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.76
3 H Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 62-69 -7.11 3.86 -0.01 1.05 -3.72
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 63-54 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.05 4.58
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 74-58 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.05 7.57
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 52-58 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.05 -2.98
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 61-57 -7.11 3.86 0.01 1.05 8.09
3 A UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 70-62 -5.27 5.69 0.01 1.05 11.93
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 65-72 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.05 -2.83
3 H Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 53-58 -7.11 3.86 -0.01 1.05 -3.72
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123.95
|
winning pts = 152.6809 losing points = -28.7305
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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